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Category: social security list

contest

The official list of U.S. Most Popular Names of 2013 will be released by the Social Security Administration any day now, and so in advance of the announcement, which we’re all awaiting with baited breath, we’re asking you to predict which names will come out on top.

Will Jacob‘s 14-year reign finally end?  Will  Sophia and Isabella continue to play tag, or will there be a new Most Popular girl and boy in town? And if so, who do you think it will it be?

What about the rest of the  Top 10?  How do you see the order shifting?  Which names will fall off or leap onto the Top 10 for girls and boys? (For a full list of 2012 Top 1000, see our Popular Names page.) There will be a prize (see below) for the first person to guess correctly the Top 10 girls and Top 10 boys in the correct order.

As a reminder, here were the leading names last year:

1 Jacob Sophia
2 Mason Emma
3 Ethan Isabella
4 Noah Olivia
5 William Ava
6 Liam Emily
7 Jayden Abigail
8 Michael Mia
9 Alexander Madison
10 Aiden Elizabeth

And if you like, you might go beyond the Top 10s and make some further predictions, like new names on  the Top 1000, names making the biggest leap up the national charts…

As a further inducement, we’re giving away a charming personalized baby bunting, one of the most popular items in the Nameberry Store and a great accessory for your child’s room.

If no one guesses the correct Top 10s, we’ll pick the person who in our opinion comes closest.

bunting

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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FLASH!!!

THE CONTEST RESULTS ARE IN AND WE HAVE TWO WINNERS!

It’s a tie! We have two winners who came closest to predicting the Top 20 names for 2013, and they are (drum roll!):

Orchid_Lover! and townsend2787

…who will each get a personalized, multi-patterned fabric banner from our store.

They both guessed 19 of the 20 names correctly, and though not in the exact order, they were pretty close (darn that Chloe and Aiden!).

It was a tough year for prognosticating, the main stumbling blocks being Noah and Liam’s surprise jumps into first and second place.  (Hats off also to luluemonmee—the only entrant who predicted Noah at the top!) The vast majority of boy votes went to Mason at Number 1.

Among the girls, Ella, Lily, Chloe and Charlotte were the biggest wannabees not to make it, and for the boys, the aforementioned Aiden, plus Elijah and James.

So congrats to the winners, and thank you all so much for participating!

 

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Most Popular Names Predictions?

questionmarkA

Today’s Questions of the Week focus on the upcoming Social Security lists of 2010’s most popular names.

The announcements of the Social Security Administration’s popularity lists for 2010 are almost upon us.  So, time to place your bets, ladies and gentlemen, on what will be revealed.

What do you think will be the three top names for girls and boys?  Will Isabella and Jacob be overthrown?

Which names will make the biggest leaps—one girl, one boy?

Which name/names will drop out of the Top 10?

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Boys’ Names Ins and Outs

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Yesterday we took a look at the girls’ names moving in and out of fashion and now we turn our attention to their brothers.

And here we find a somewhat different picture.

Overall, it confirms the fact that there is much greater consistency on the boys’ side of the fence, with a huge proportion of the names already established in the Top 100 list of 1880, and very few new ones entering in the succeeding years: only one or two per decade, with a large number of them having Irish roots.

Names that we might think of as fairly recent favorites were already on the list in the 1880s: Cameron, Carson, Carter, Chase, Cole and Cooper, Hunter and Haydn, for example. (Further evidence of the 100-year rule.)

So, again, here they are, arranged by decade, and then giving the particular years that they were among the Top 100.

1880s

  • Angel: 1888, 1891, 1899, 1907-1910, 1912-1914, 1916-2009
  • Blake: 1883, 1886, 1892-1894, 1897, 1903, 1906, 1911, 1920-21, 1933, 1942-1943, 1945-2009
  • Bryan: 1883, 1886, 1890, 1892, 1894-2009
  • Caleb: 1880-1907, 1909-1911, 1914-1915, 1917-1918, 1920, 1922, 1925, 1964, 1966, 1968-1009
  • Cameron: 1882-1885m 1888, 1895-1896, 1900, 1911-1912, 1916, 1920-1924, 1926, 1930-1931, 1934, 1936, 1939, 1941-2009
  • Carson: 1880-1882, 1884-1892, 1894-1896, 1898-2009
  • Carter: 1881, 1883-1977, 1980-2009
  • Chase: 1885, 1972-2009
  • Cole: 1886, 1912, 1951, 1954-1965, 1967-2009
  • Cooper: 1882, 1885-1887, 1889, 1982, 1984-2009
  • Diego: 1887, 1958, 1963-2009
  • Dominic: 1885, 1887, 1890-1892, 1894-2009
  • Ethan: 1882, 1884, 1886-1887, 1891, 1893, 1896, 1898, 1901, 1952, 1954, 1956-2009
  • Hayden: 1880, 1885, 1888-1892, 1895-1901, 1903-1930, 1922-1936, 1941-1944, 1947, 1986-2009
  • Hunter: 1880-1886, 1888-1902, 1904-1920, 1922-1924, 1926-1929, 1931-1932, 1934-1935, 1945-1950, 1954, 1956-2009
  • Isaiah: 1880-1968, 1971-2009
  • Jason: 1880-1898, 1900-2009
  • Jesus: 1880-1890, 1892-2009
  • Jordan: 1880-1889, 1891-1901, 1903-1910, 1912-1915, 1917, 1919-2009
  • Josiah: 1880-1896, 1898-1899, 1903-1904, 1906-1907, 1912, 1914, 1916, 1975-2009
  • Justin: 1880-1881, 1884-1886, 1888-1894, 1896-2009

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socialsecurity2

 Since the Social Security site showing the rankings of baby names is the bible for so many nameberries, we thought we’d turn to webmaster Jeff Kunkel to give us some insight into how it developed–and his instrumental part in it.

Soon after Social Security joined the internet, I became webmaster for my office, the Office of the Chief Actuary.  A high priority in those days was providing the public with information on cost-of-living increases and other things that affected Social Security beneficiaries.  The lists of baby names begun by Michael Shackleford, who was then a co-worker, were decidedly a low priority.

However, the popularity of the baby name web pages soon became apparent.  Dissatisfied with simply presenting the baby names as lists of the top 1000 names by sex for each year of birth, I wrote an interactive computer program that would allow people to select the year of birth, select the number of names to display, and select whether to display the number of occurrences of each name.  In essence, the program allowed people to generate their own customized lists.

My desire to see how the popularity of my daughter’s name changed over time, coupled with the success of that list-generating program, inspired me to write another program that would provide a way to see time trends in the baby name data.  The resulting new program proved to be even more popular than the list-generating program.

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socialsecurity

It’s just a little over a week  till the new Most Popular Names list is announced, for 2009.  How do you think things are going to change?  Will Emma and/or Jacob be toppled from their top spots? What names will rise and which will fall?

Here, as refresher, is the Top Ten for 2008:

girls

1. Emma (unseating Emily for the first time)
2. Isabella
3. Emily
4. Madison
5. Ava
6. Olivia
7. Sophia
8. Abigail
9. Elizabeth
10. Chloe (first appearance in Top 10)

boys

1. Jacob
2. Michael
3. Ethan
4. Joshua
5. Daniel
6. Alexander
7. Anthony
8. William
9. Christopher
10. Matthew

So what do you think? Is it Jacob‘s turn to fall from the top? Any predictions on fastest risers inspired by celebrities or pop culture? What’s YOUR vision of the Top 10?

First person to guess the new Top 10 gets a very public gold star on nameberry!

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Become a fan on facebook!

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